Tag Archives: running

How to count Cards like a Pro

Card counting is a strategy used in blackjack to determine when the player has a statistical advantage over the house. This is done by tracking the ratio of high cards to low cards left in the deck. The greater the percentage of tens, face cards and aces in the deck, the greater the advantage for the player. The basic idea is to bet more money when the player has an advantage and less money when they are at a disadvantage.

There are many card counting systems, but it is first necessary to learn the basics of the plus/minus point count system. This system is relatively easy and with a minimal amount of practice you will be ready to play for real. The more complex systems are variations of the plus/minus and can be easily adapted after learning the basics. There are also easier systems, such as the Ace Five count, but they are less accurate and require you to raise your wagers at a much greater rate. The way a casino can tell when you are counting cards is that you greatly increase your bets when the count is in your favor. The plus/minus system allows you to raise your bets at a more gradual and harder to detect rate.

In blackjack the player gains an advantage when the deck has a shortage of cards valued 2,3,4,5 and 6. The player is at a disadvantage when the deck has a shortage of tens, face cards and aces. By counting cards you will know when you have this advantage and be able to capitalize on it by increasing your bets. When the deck has a disproportionately low amount of face cards and Aces, you can alter your strategy by hitting on hands you normally wouldn’t. This will increase the overall number of hands that you win.

In the plus/minus point count a plus value is given to low cards, and a minus value is given to high cards. The higher the point count, the better the odds for the player. When the cards are being dealt simply keep a count in your head as you see each card. Start at zero and add one for each 2, 3, 4, 5 or 6 dealt. Subtract one from your count for each 10, J, Q, K or Ace dealt. This will give you what is known as a running count. 7, 8, and 9 have a value of zero. This is because they have a very small statistical effect compared to the other cards. There are some variations, such as the Canfield Master, that use a value of -2 for the Ace instead of -1 or give a value of +1 to the seven instead of zero. A running count is the actual count and assumes you are playing with a single deck.

This system is balanced. There are 20 cards in a deck that are valued plus 1, and 20 cards that are valued minus 1. The remaining 12 cards (7, 8 and 9) have a value of zero. At the end of a deck the count will be zero. To practice this system, take a deck of cards and flip them one by one while keeping track of the count. At the end of the deck the count should be zero. Keep practicing by flipping the cards faster and faster and do this with distractions around. You should be able to count a full deck while having a conversation and watching TV.

Once you are confident that you can quickly and accurately count cards, it is time to look at your betting strategies. The higher the plus count, the more that you want to bet. If the running count is plus 1 or negative, bet one unit. The unit can be whatever you want it to be, but is generally the table minimum for beginners. When the running count is plus 2 or 3, bet 2 units, plus 4 or 5 bet 3 units, plus 6 or 7 bet 4 units and plus 8 or more bet 5 units.

It is rare that you will play in a single deck blackjack game. The next step is to calculate the “True Count.” The true count is calculated by dividing the running count by the total number of decks that have not yet been dealt. The most common, and easiest, way to determine how many decks are left is to look at the remaining cards in the shoe and make an estimate. A more accurate, and more complicated, way is to count the number of decks played based on the number of rounds played. If there are 6 players and each average 3 cards per hand, each round will use 1/3 of a deck. Most casinos use 6 decks. So, after the first round divide your running count by 6 to figure out your true count. After the second, third and fourth rounds divide by 5. The deeper into the shoe you get, the more accurate the running count is.

When the shoe is first shuffled the dealer holds about a 0.5% advantage. Each additional true count point increases the player’s advantage by 0.5%. So, when the true count is +1, you have even odds. When the true count is at +2 the players have a 0.5% advantage.

What is Card Counting? (Page 1 of 2)

Blackjack is based decks of 52 playing cards. If you have ever had a statistics and probability course in school, you’ve probably dealt with the probability of drawing one particular card from the deck. Using the same principles it’s possible to determine the odds of winning or losing any particular blackjack hand.

In any casino blackjack, the house has the edge. That means over time, the casino is going to win more hands than the player. Eventually the casino will win. The casino gets this edge primarily because the player goes first. The player has a chance to bust before the dealer.

Basic blackjack multi-deck strategy is designed to minimize the house edge. If you adhere to strict rules regarding what action to take based on the dealers up card and your hand total, you can reduce the house edge to it’s bare minimum. Basic strategy has already worked out which action will statistically be the best action for the player. Basic strategy does not guarantee you will win every hand. But over a long enough period of time you will perform better if you adhere to the basic strategy. Keep in mind that no matter how well you play the basic strategy, the house still has the statistical edge.

Card counting is the next step beyond basic strategy. The dealer must hit below 17. This means that having low value cards in the shoe is statistically beneficial to the dealer. The dealer has an advantage when it is likely that he will draw a low value card. Conversely, the dealer is at a disadvantage when there are more ten value cards in the shoe. The dealer is more likely to bust when hitting below 17. Statistically the player has an edge of the house when there are more 10 value cards in the shoe.

Card counting seeks to take advantage of knowing when there are more ten value cards in the shoe. Blackjack has a “history” in that as cards are played from the shoe they move to the discard pile. So, if you know that more low value cards have already been played, then you know that there must be equally many ten value cards remaining in the shoe. Therefore you know that you have an advantage over the casino. When you realize you have the statistical edge, you raise your bet accordingly. You wager more when the cards are in your favor.

All card counting systems rely on keeping a “running count”. The running count represents the history of the game. Basically, every time you see a low value card played, you add one or more points from the running count. Every time you see a ten value card (or an ace) you subtract a point. A positive running count is signals that more low value cards have been played, and that there are equally many ten value cards in the shoe. In the most basic systems, that’s all you need to do. You need to know when to add or subtract points, and you must keep an accurate running count in your head.

Please note that that “history” of the game is lost whenever the dealer shuffles. All cards are added back into the shoe, so the game starts over. At this point you must start your running count over at its initial value.