Tag Archives: races
What Percentage Of Races Does The Favorite Horse Win?
As a general rule, the favorite will win about 1/3 of the time, but what is amazing is how often the favorite will place, especially when less than half of the field is 5-1 or lower. In this case a favorite will place almost 100% of the time.
In order to win a horse race, you might want to predict the winner by using statistical calculations instead. In a race with 20 runners you have a 1 in 20 chance of picking the winner. However, let us say that the race has just six runners, then you have a 1 in 6 chance of winning. Thus, you can see that the fewer the runners there are, the better your chances of winning. Therefore, it is statistically speaking, a bad race to bet on. The key point: is stay away from horse races where there are lots of runners!
In a race with only six horses running, you have a 1 in 6 chance of picking a winner. However, bookmakers/tracks usually only offer poor odds if you bet place or show on such a horse. Of course, if you placed a win bet and the horse does win, then you will come away with lots of money. You really need odds of at least 4/1 to win anything if the horse that you bet on places second or third. Of course, this is providing that you placed a place or show bet. If the odds are less than 4/1, then I suggest passing such a horse race.
In my opinion, the secret of winning on the horses is to look at the statistics. I suggest that you choose horse races with nine runners and 1/4 odds on the first three, or six runners with 1/4 odds on the first two. Thus, I suggest that you limit yourself to horse races with either 6 or 9 horses running to have the best chance of winning.
Thus, the question asked is if you should bet on the horse most likely to win? Sometimes the answer to this is “no”. Often the odds on the horse most likely to win is poor. Remember, when you use this system, you are making your predictions on the odds. Thus, place your bet around 20 minutes to race time.
If the horses just below the favorite have better odds, such as 4/1, 5/1 or better; then place your bet on those horses. Remember, that your horse only has to come in the first three in a six or nine horse race for you to come away with a profit. And do not forget, the horse still has a chance of winning too. For this reason, I do not always place my money on the horse that is predicted to win. Look at the odds being offered and if they are better on the second or third horse, then go for it.
As one can see, it often is better to bet on a horse you think is going to place. The reason being that the odds are often better than the favorite winning the race.
Why does the horse predicted to place actually wins so many races? Maybe because the favorite usually only wins 1 in 3 races. In 2 out of 3 races some other horse wins.
Harness Racing Handicapping System
In todays market, there are many harness racing systems. In addition, many horse bettors have created their own harness racing system. This article is about harness racing systems in general picking winners at the harness races. Thus, the first question that the horse bettor should ask is whether or not a system is needed.
In my opinion, when you are wagering real money on the races, it is important to have some method that will insure consistency and a way to track results. Yes, I believe in using a system that works for you.
Thus, the first factor that you should look for in a harness racing system is a method to chart your bets or to keep track of where the money goes. By doing this, it will soon be easy to find weak spots in your reasoning and also to build on your strengths. By doing this, you will not be doomed to keep repeating the same mistakes over and over again.
You should next find a factor to compare the speed of each horse and to adjust it for such things as post position and pace. This is very important since you will have to make adjustments based on the track variants for each track and each day at the track.
In addition, a good harness racing system must also take into account the driver UDR (universal driver rating) and the trainer UTR (universal trainer rating). Afterall, the horse can only be as good or bad as the people who prepare and guide it.
Finally, you should have a harness racing system that has credibility and a guarantee. If you buy a harness racing system, it should offer a 100% money back guarantee. If the person selling the harness racing system will not stand behind their product, that a pass since they are sending a clear message of what he or she really thinks it is worth. Finding a good harness racing system is not really that hard if you keep the above in mind. In addition, using a good system with proven results will shorten the amount of time it takes you to become a good harness racing handicapper who is capable of making a profit betting on harness races.