Tag Archives: loss

Gambling Money Management

Whenever I see the term “Money Management” a red flag goes off in my head. Although some writers using the term do have sound advice on handling a gambling stake, many others that use the term just have harebrained suggestions of betting in patterns that presumably can make one a sure winner at a negative game. The latter is pure nonsense. In this article I hope to give you some sound advice on money matters.
First of all you should have a separate account for gambling money. Frank Scoblete likes to refer to this as his 401G (since I am a retired professor mine is a 403G). There are two very good reasons for doing this. First of all, you should not gamble with money that is dedicated for another purpose. Now although I have a real libertine streak in me, I feel that gambling with money that you need for other things is just plain immoral.
The second reason is that you shouldn’t play with scared money. What do I mean by that? Let me give you an example. Suppose that you are playing Blackjack and you get a pair of threes versus the dealer’s four. The correct play is to split. It’s not a great play but it is the correct play. Then you get another three. Okay, split again. You get a ten on the first three and an eight on the second three; you double the second hand and get a five. Phooey! The third three get hit with a five and then a ten; not a great hand. If you’re playing quarters you now have $100 riding on the outcome. The dealer gets a seven and then a ten for twenty one and you lose $100.
Now let’s suppose that a few hands later you get dealt a pair of twos and the dealer shows a five up. You correctly split. Then you get dealt another two. You think back to those threes and decide to just hit the four total. Error! You’re playing with scared money. You luck out and draw a seven. You think about those threes again and that $100 loss. So you don’t double. Error! You’re playing with scared money and as a result you are not playing optimally.

My next tip is to play for a fixed gain and fixed loss at each session, for example, risking $100 to make $100. Now before you turn up your nose and declare that I am the one giving out harebrained suggestions, hear me out. I do not, repeat, do not think that doing this will change the long run edge of any game. In fact, it will not change it one iota. So why bother? Well, it does change some short-run effects. For one thing it changes the casino from essentially an infinitely rich adversary to one with finite resources. So what? This reduces the ruin probability for that session; you have a better chance of leaving the table with a profit, although in a negative game you’re still more likely to lose than win (positive games are a bit trickier – see my article on Kelly betting in the archives). If you just keep playing with no end in sight, you are a sure loser and that is a mathematical fact.

I recall having dinner with Anthony Curtis and discussing this and he remarked that the only thing that quitting while you’re ahead accomplishes is that sometimes you get to walk around with the casino’s money in your pocket; your average loss in the long run will be unchanged. Of course he was absolutely right. But hey, you come to a casino to enjoy yourself and if sometimes having their money in your pocket is a good feeling, great!
Actually, there is another benefit to playing this way. If you lose your stake for that session you will get up and leave – your fixed loss has been realized and the game is over for now. In other words, you don’t chase your losses. Chasing losses is a good way to gamble over your head.
Finally, if you are disciplined enough to leave the casino with a win under your belt, you can deposit your gains in your 401G and earn interest on it until the next time you play. Even if it’s only a few bucks, it is a profit. In fact, I prefer to open a line of casino credit so that the only time my money leaves my 403G is when I lose.

My last suggestion is probably the most important one. Don’t use credit cards. There are two ways this can occur. One, of course, is on-line gambling which, despite its popularity, I don’t endorse. The other is using the credit card machines that are in every casino. You insert your card, enter your PIN, and the money shows up at the casino cage. Of course you get charged for the transfer so you have already lost some of your stake before you even start to play. But that is not the worst of it. If you rack up a large balance gambling, one that you cannot afford to pay, you are going to end up paying dearly and for a long time. This brings me to credit cards in general. They can be a dangerous phenomenon, and in my opinion their misuse is encouraged by the American banking industry. Let me show you why they can be so dangerous.

I have a credit card (that I pay off each month) and it has the following terms. The annual percentage rate is 18 of the unpaid balance. Let us suppose that I make a $2000 loan with this card. Further suppose that I never add another penny to the balance and simply pay it off using the minimum monthly payment. How much money do you think I pay back to the credit card company and how long do you think it will take me to reduce my balance to zero? The answer is that I will return $6174.60 to them and it will take me 23 years and 2 months to do that. Those are not misprints. With this example in mind, suppose that I do use my card every month to make purchases (as do most of us) and that I always pay the minimum allowed. In this case I will be in debt to this company for the rest of my life and, once my card is maxed out, I will be using money I would like to have for other things to pay this usury loan. Not a pretty picture is it?

How to Avoid Going "On Tilt" In Online Poker

Tilt Could Lead You to Loss

“On Tilt” is when you get annoyed over something that has happened in the game. This could lead you to lose some chips. Even professionals are known to have gone on tilt and have lost huge sums of money. So let us discuss the ways by which you can avoid going on tilt in online poker.

Keep Your Mind Calm

Your mindset has to be calm and it is when you make some mental mistakes that could cause you a loss, then you will be on tilt.

Walk Away If You Feel the Onset of Tilt

Disciplining yourself should be seen as a priority if you do not want to slide into a tilt. If it is someone’s trash talk puts you on tilt, then what you need to do is to get up and walk away and watch some TV or preoccupy yourself with some activity to get your mind off the subject and set it free. This is something you could do, even when you are playing live poker. Missing a few hands is not going to be as expensive as giving out chips from a tilt. Serenity is a great asset when you play poker or else you are likely to tilt and lose money.

An Unexpected Loss Could Trigger a Tilt

You have a hand that has four of a kind of 4’s. You are sure to win. However, you find that someone with a hand of four 5’s of a kind has won the game. Then you are likely to go on tilt. If this happens, you likely become so frustrated that your thought process may get temporarily impaired and you may not be able to play coherently.

Do Not Play a Bad Hand

Sometimes you get a bad hand and you want to play it anyway. It is senseless but still you do it and then you go on tilt. Such hands should be left alone as it could lead you to trouble. You should return to the game only when you are off tilt.

Optimism and a Stable Frame of Mind are True Virtues

There are many factors that influence the mind. If you have won a huge pot then your emotional state undergoes tremendous changes. Your emotions change after you have bluffed someone or if you have been the butt of a bluff or alternatively, if you had a bad loss. Optimism and a stable mind frame are true virtues in such situations and can help to avoid sliding into a tilt.

Leave the Game When You Continuously Suffer Losses

You should restrain yourself from the temptation of carrying on playing when you are on a continuous loss. This is only going force you into playing a very poor hand. The long and short of it all is that you will go on losing money, leading to a tilt, and that is what should be avoided.

Keeping a Poker Face is the Secret to Victory

While playing, you should be poker faced. Your emotions should never come to the forefront. You should have a very good control over your emotions. Don’t allow any rash words to affect you. You should play poker only if your mind is peaceful and at rest and not disturbed. Otherwise, you can go into a tilt, and you will have only losses and yourself to blame. If you tend to get angry, leave the table and let yourself cool. You can start to play again later.