Tag Archives: long term

Learn Casino Craps – Professional Craps Player? Nonsense!

Is there such a thing as a professional craps player? That’s the wrong question. You should ask if there’s such as thing as a successful professional craps player (the key word is “successful”). Plainly and simply, the answer is no. It’s statistically impossible for a player to win over the long-term. The game is stacked against the player in favor of the casino.

Knowing the player cannot, and will not, win over the long-term, we find that the question of whether there’s such as thing as a successful professional craps player is also the wrong question. In fact, using the word “professional” invalidates the question. Dictionary.com defines “professional” as following an occupation as a means of livelihood or gain. Since it’s statistically impossible for the player to win over the long-term, the player cannot possible use the game of craps as a means of livelihood or gain. In other words, if you play long enough, you’ll lose all your money. Therefore, the term “professional” cannot apply legitimately to the game of craps.

I’ve read articles that suggest a key to being a successful craps player is to play only for short periods of time because prolonged periods of play increase your loss potential. That’s just plain nutty. The law of odds doesn’t know whether you’re playing short or long sessions. Instead, it’s like one long, drawn-out session over time. The relatively short interruptions (e.g., eating, sleeping, working, going to the bathroom) are meaningless over the long term. The law of odds knows that statistics are in the casino’s favor and that the player will eventually lose. Playing for short or long periods does nothing to affect the eventual outcome. However, playing short sessions does, indeed, extend the inevitable. Instead of going broke quickly by playing long sessions, you’ll go broke more slowly by playing short sessions.

Is it sinking in yet? Craps is gambling. Gambling means you’ll lose over the long-term. Don’t be blinded by hopes and dreams of quitting your boring, dead-end job and making millions beating the casino. When you hear or read about someone making a successful living by playing craps, walk away or close the book because they’re about feed you a load of crap (pun intended) or sell you something you certainly don’t want.

Knowledgeable craps players who understand the math accept the fact that they’re going to lose. They play simply for the fun and excitement that craps offers. Interaction with other players and the range of emotion from losing to suddenly winning (and winning to suddenly losing) are what drive the knowledgeable player. The knowledgeable player doesn’t expect to win. She hopes to win, but doesn’t expect it. If she gets lucky and wins during a particular session, then that’s great. But she knows she’ll probably lose the next session. We play solely for entertainment, not to make a living.

Learn the game and gain confidence in the fact that there’s no such thing as a winning craps system. Understand and accept the fact that there’s no such thing as a dice-control artist (i.e., supposedly, someone who can control the outcome of a dice roll by using specific sets of throwing skills). If you’re going to play craps, play for the fun of it and no other reason. Otherwise, you’ll be disappointed when you eventually lose.

Although there’s no statistical way to win over the long-term, there are, indeed, ways to get the most out of your gambling bankroll. Because you can prolong the inevitable, you can stand at the table longer, which means your fun will last longer. Remember, you should play craps for entertainment because it’s so much fun, not because you want to get rich off the casino. So, how do you prolong the inevitable? How do you maximize your fun and excitement without spending a fortune? That’s the subject of another article.

Blending Poker Styles

Playing the fox- Everyone has a general archetype when it comes to their style of play at the poker table; the aggressive internet kid, the crafty old veteran, the cantankerous old man that plays locks and locks only. But, in order to secure the biggest profit from our opponents, we have to adjust our play from time to time in order to keep our opponents off guard and play in a way that profits larger in the long run. To do this, we have to think like the fox; blending our styles occasionally so that the internet kid can play snug for a round and get paid off, or the lock player can get a bit loose and bluff someone out of a pot with a draw. The most successful players will usually play a blend of two styles, allowing themselves to easily switch from one to another without much thought and before players can react to it.

Long Term Ramifications- Blending styles in the long term means making sure you have your two primary styles of play ready to go, along with a third you can switch to if the primary ones aren’t working. Make them easy to switch to, like, tight/aggro and loose/aggro, or tight/passive, tight/aggressive (although passive isn’t that great of a long term strategy, you may want to play 80% aggro with that archetype) and find spots that you can shift to and from the two respective styles. You may want to start out by playing a few rounds of the tournament/cash game using your primary style, then switch to your secondary style for a round or two, and see who catches on to your shift, and who doesn’t notice at all. It’ll be harder for players, even perceptive ones, to catch you shifting due to the blending of the styles you’ve selected.

Short Term Ramifications- Something that also comes from the blending of styles is the ability to quickly shift, in the middle of a hand, even, from one style to another. You start the hand off as your loose aggressive self, opening to 3x for the 4th time in the past round with a real hand, KK. A perceptive opponent decides to three bet you from the small blind, and you’re both deep. Super aggressive you may want to four bet here, but you can blend back to loose passive here and just flat call, with the bonus of position and a monster hand to entice your opponent to lead out at most flops with a wide range of hands; you can either continue the passive play and flat, or switch back to aggro you and raise it up here. Having the option to shift during a hand allows you to add multiple dynamics to your play that you’d never have a chance to take advantage of otherwise; use these shifts and blend your styles, and you’ll maximize your potential to profit in the long and short run.