Tag Archives: last
My top 10 Winning Horse Betting Systems/Tips (Page 1 of 2)
been known to identify horses that might have a winning chance been known to identify horses that might have a winning chance have purchased a lot of horse betting systems in the past. Here I have written my own experiences and reviews about various horse betting systems that I have tried and what I think are winning tips to win at horse betting. Be aware that not all horse betting systems work. Gamblers who want to have the best possible chance of profiting from their wagers employ horse betting systems to help boost their odds. You can take advantage of horse betting systems to help you increase your chances of winning at the race track. There are many different horse betting systems available, and they have several advantages over the traditional gut feeling approach to horse betting. I suggest that you always use a new horse betting system to continually test for consistency and, if need be, adjust for improvement over time.
By employing a horse betting system, you should be able to keep track of exactly how much money you are wagering, and where most of your profits and wins come from so you can decide on better methods of investing your gambling dollars. The disciplined approach to horse betting using horse betting systems can mean the difference between throwing money away every week and consistently winning your wagers.
There are several horse betting systems available; some are simple, and some are quite complicated. I will provide you with a few simple systems to use in this article. Using a few horse betting systems will make betting at the race track fun.
1: If you want to win regularly, betting on horses which won their last race is one of our favorite horse betting system. It is simple, yet very effective! If there are several horses in the same race which won their last races, you can either bet on all of them or you can ignore the race altogether.
2: Look out for horses whose previous outing was in a handicap of similar importance or value, even if they ran down the field. Things may have gone wrong in running last time, or the horse may not have ‘fired’ as was hoped, but it could well pop up at a long price when the betting public least expects it.
3: Betting on a favorite. Over the years horses going off as favorites have won approximately 33% of the time, while second choices, horses with the next lowest odds after the favorite, will win about 20% of the time, and third choices, the next down in send-off position, will win the race about 15% of the time. Another angle of this simple system is to bet the favorite by purchasing a “place” ticket instead. I will generally double my bet if I follow this system.
4: Look for a horse that came off a layoff in his last race. If he showed speed and faded at the end of the race, or has a closing running style and came up short at the finish, then he might be a horse to bet in his next start.
Free Betting Advice – Horse Racing System Statistics – Odds On Horses
Horse racing systems are regularly based on research and statistics. Without them, making a horse racing system would be a lot more complex. I use a lot of programs and Internet resources for my own research, but this can be very expensive and run into hundreds each month. So in order to present you a bit of a helping hand I have listed a number of valuable statistics beneath:
+Odds On Horses+
The vast majority of people seem to think odds on horses are unbeatable or bad value. Neither is true, they get beaten pretty often, and as for value if you get a Pattern winning horse running in a Seller at 1/5, that is potentially decent value.
A quick statistic now:
58% of odds on horses win their races on the flat.
54% win on the AW (All Weather). That 4% difference makes quite a difference, so pay closer attention to short-priced racehorses on this surface.
Splitting all flat races into race type with the percenatge of winning odds on runners:
4+ & all age H/c’s – 48%
Specific age H/c’s – 53%
Claimers – 56%
2yo Sellers – 56%
3yo Seller – 60%
Other Sellers – 56%
3yo & all age Maidens – 59%
2yo Maidens – 61%
2yo condition races – 62%
3yo & all age cnds races – 57%
All the above based on statistics over 5 years.
This will confidently give you a little help in pointing out likely odds on winners.
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+5f Sprint Favourites +
In reply to a query I was sent with regard to how many odds on favourites win 5f sprints:
Over the last 16 years,
Handicap – 23% – 924/3960 – & 65533;376.62 Loss
Claimer/Auction – 35% – 420/1208 – & 65533;89.98 Loss
Non-Handicap – 35% – 779/220 – & 65533;233.10 Loss
Group or Maiden – 38% – 878/2310 – & 65533;175.09 Loss
Sprints are not really good for odds on runners, you ought to be looking at them in 1 mile and upwards races. Also using the betting exchanges will offer better prices on some, but in a number ofcases once you deduct the commission you can have a lower price than the bookies offer.
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+Winners last time out – Flat+
Just some quick basic stats for the flat from 10 years of statistics:
Last time out winners win 17.45% next time out
Horses that won there last 2 races win 21.52% next time out
Winners of there last 3 win 24.81%
Last 4 win 26.25%
Last 5 win 29.17%
Last 6 win 38.24
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+Winners last time out – National Hunt+
Source – 10 years all NH races run under rules. Chances of horse winning next time out:
Last time out winner – 23.61%
Won last 2 – 29%
Won last 3 – 33.89%
Won last 4 – 37.65%
Won last 5 – 39.64%
Won last 6 – 38.53%
Compared to the flat, sequence winners over jumps have a much bigger probability of winning again.
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+Nursery Topweights+
A Nursery is a Handicap race for 2 year olds.
I read a comment in the RFO (Racing and Football Outlook newspaper) from one of their ‘tipsters’, that ‘top weight’s in Nurseries are always worth a second look.
Now me being what I am, I wanted to test this wonderful theory, as this is how we learn, so I ran it through my software.
As normal with this type of media information it is shot down in flames.
Over the last 16 years:
Qualifiers: 2459
Winners: 359
Strike-rate: 14.56%
Loss: -& 65533;461
Average loss per year: -& 65533;28
Only 1996 showed a profit of & 65533;36, apparently a coincidence.
Not very good is it? Obviously it’s the media giving the typical punter the normal worthless myths.
Remember, when you hear media remarks such as ‘horses for courses’, ‘always back the outsider of 3’, etc, the opposite is commonly true.
These stats ought to help you develop your method betting, and go towards making a horse racing system.