Tag Archives: horses
What Percentage Of Races Does The Favorite Horse Win?
As a general rule, the favorite will win about 1/3 of the time, but what is amazing is how often the favorite will place, especially when less than half of the field is 5-1 or lower. In this case a favorite will place almost 100% of the time.
In order to win a horse race, you might want to predict the winner by using statistical calculations instead. In a race with 20 runners you have a 1 in 20 chance of picking the winner. However, let us say that the race has just six runners, then you have a 1 in 6 chance of winning. Thus, you can see that the fewer the runners there are, the better your chances of winning. Therefore, it is statistically speaking, a bad race to bet on. The key point: is stay away from horse races where there are lots of runners!
In a race with only six horses running, you have a 1 in 6 chance of picking a winner. However, bookmakers/tracks usually only offer poor odds if you bet place or show on such a horse. Of course, if you placed a win bet and the horse does win, then you will come away with lots of money. You really need odds of at least 4/1 to win anything if the horse that you bet on places second or third. Of course, this is providing that you placed a place or show bet. If the odds are less than 4/1, then I suggest passing such a horse race.
In my opinion, the secret of winning on the horses is to look at the statistics. I suggest that you choose horse races with nine runners and 1/4 odds on the first three, or six runners with 1/4 odds on the first two. Thus, I suggest that you limit yourself to horse races with either 6 or 9 horses running to have the best chance of winning.
Thus, the question asked is if you should bet on the horse most likely to win? Sometimes the answer to this is “no”. Often the odds on the horse most likely to win is poor. Remember, when you use this system, you are making your predictions on the odds. Thus, place your bet around 20 minutes to race time.
If the horses just below the favorite have better odds, such as 4/1, 5/1 or better; then place your bet on those horses. Remember, that your horse only has to come in the first three in a six or nine horse race for you to come away with a profit. And do not forget, the horse still has a chance of winning too. For this reason, I do not always place my money on the horse that is predicted to win. Look at the odds being offered and if they are better on the second or third horse, then go for it.
As one can see, it often is better to bet on a horse you think is going to place. The reason being that the odds are often better than the favorite winning the race.
Why does the horse predicted to place actually wins so many races? Maybe because the favorite usually only wins 1 in 3 races. In 2 out of 3 races some other horse wins.
Horse Racing Betting Process Essentials
Horse racing is a kind of sport which is now popularly known as a betting game. But you’ve got to take into account that the horse racing betting doesn’t only refer to laying a bet on the horse with the most attractive name or the one with the best odds. The truth is some consumers have this perception that one has to be a horse racing professional to be a winner.
Here are some of the significant points you have to consider in generating an efficient horse racing betting system:
Distance
The distance that can be run by the horse to reach the finishing point is a extremely crucial factor that you have to weigh up before you pick out the horse that you will lay a bet on. If the distance is short, the horse has only small time to show its best performance. Conversely if the distance of the race is too lengthy, there are several possibilities like the horse could possibly get tired or the horse rider could drop off. Keep in mind that the safest distance of the horse race is in the range of 5 furlongs and not far more than three miles.
Number of Runners
The number of runners is also a pretty crucial element that make sure you take into account when betting. A horses chance of winning is greatly affected by the number of contenders in a race. If the field is major, then naturally, it indicates theres huge numbers of runners who will vie inside the horse racing sport. It truly is fairly tough to opt for which horse will do well in the race where there are actually so a number of runners who compete with one another.
The Type of Ground
An additional significant factor that make sure you take into consideration when betting on a horse is the kind of ground in which the horse will run. The rule of thumb is that the “going” must be excellent. Examine if the ground is soft or heavy. The smoothness or firmness of the “going” is also essential in the race. The size of the horses feet has also an impact on the result of the race.
When the Last Race was Run
The last race of the horse is also one more aspect that you’ve to consider prior to you pick out your bet. You have to take into account when the last time the horse have its race was. It really is quite challenging to tell if the horse is in beneficial shape or not when it has been vacant inside the horse racing scene for a short time. Ideally, a good bet is really a horse whose last race was within the existing season or at least 28 days ago.
Check the Horses Form
You’ll notice that you’ll find letters C and D indicated inside the horses form. The C here indicates that the horse has been a winner over a particular track in the prior races even though the D denotes that the horse has been a winner over the distance being run inside the race. When there’s C or D inside the horses form, it is best to not think twice to bet on that horse. This indicates that theyre wonderful runners.
Top Favorites
You can also take into account those horses that are considered to be leading favorites within the present season. Experts agree that there is a higher probability that these horses come very first inside the race. Hence, check out some favorites and their records inside the racing field. If they’ve 3/1 or less within the betting, then, thats an indication that they can be an excellent choose.