Tag Archives: favor

Chance for winning

In any poker room the best players do not depend on luck. Good players have a very good ability to estimate about precise odds and they bet only on positive chances and they avoid playing negative outcomes. They play in any poker room either because they have an unbeatable hand or they are probably smart at making others believe that they are holding something unbeatable.

There are some people in a poker room that will not be able to bring themselves to fold unless the hand that they hold does not have any kind of chance for winning. More often than not such players are those that will stick on to seeing the last card that is being dealt. These people in any poker room tend to be calling and making raises even with the most hopeless hand. Even when the flop did not hit in their favor, they will still be playing. Such players are those that will lose in the long run even the simplest poker room that has players that are less skilled.

The role of a good poker player in any poker room is to reduce the risk of playing wrong hands and not to take chances with a worse hand. In some cases risks on hopeless hands might pay off good, and there is likely to be a temptation to repeat the attempt in the next poker room, but truly it can lead to long-term losses.

There are yet some other players in any poker room that bet on cards that are yet to come. This kind of betting refers to betting on a hope that the next card that will be dealt in the table will be much in their favor. It might be dangerous to be playing such hands unless the odds are already in your favor based on your existing hands.

There is an interesting logic to poker playing where you need not believe anyone in the poker room because you play for 2 reasons. One could be possibly because your hand is unbeatable and the next is because the odds are pretty much in your favor. This is going to be very useful when you will be playing against weak players that can give confusing tells that can be sometimes true and sometimes not. So, work out your odds, play if it is favorable and fold if it is not favorable.

Anyone wanna buy a system? (Page 1 of 2)

So I got me a little snifter here. Jack’s been working his way through some freebies — a new supplier’s trying to break into supplying the casino. Reckons he needs to make sure all the right people get their taste of the good stuff and we’re both of us out to oblige him. Damn, but some of this stuff is good! Makes me wanna give up the poker and the slot machines, and settle down with a bottle or two to enjoy my retirement.

Anyways, the young fellah just called. Caught me in a mellow mood for once. He thinks — well, we can suspend judgement on that for so long as he keeps paying me — he thinks I should explain myself. In one piece I’m saying there’s, “a proper mathematical playing strategy for video poker.” In the next, I’m saying there’s a gambler’s fallacy and you can’t predict the cards. He thinks they doesn’t fit right together.

So here’s a few words to make it all crystal.

Did you ever see Ocean’s 11 — don’t matter whether it was the original Rat Pack version or the new ones with George Clooney and his pals? Did you notice how they always robbed the casinos. There was never a hint of walking through the door with a system for winning at the tables or on the slot machines. Hollywood got it right for once. The only way you guarantee a big score at a casino is as a thief — and you’ve to be lucky to enjoy your “takings” and avoid the hail of bullets if you get caught by wrong people.

Look around online. You’ll see a small army of people touting their systems for beating all casino games with a house advantage. Play slot machines, win big. Win at blackjack without counting. When I was growing up, my mother used to play 78s all the time. She loved the musicals of the 1920s. She’d never been on the chorus line, but she’d a hankering for it. Her parents disapproved of theatrical folk and that was an end of that. Anyways, one of my favorites was Banana Oil — kinda like snake oil but always applied to lounge-lizard lines. “When he tells you, ‘I adore you,’ that’s banana oil.” In other words, everything he said to get his mark into bed was bullshit.

Well, the same goes for all these salesmen pushing betting systems for slot machines. They’re trying to scam you outa your money. Take it from me. There ain’t no system around that even dents the House edge on games where the probabilities are set in the House’s favor. Math is math. Mind you. It’s not my money — you wanna fool yourself you can shade the odds in your favor on video poker, then feel free.

So, how do these systems work? You’re supposed to base your bets on the most recent outcomes. Take roulette as an example. Wait for a run of blacks, then bet on red — the longer the run, the bigger the bets on red. If you see a pattern emerging, you’re supposed to think that the probabilities of the game itself have changed. When I worked for casinos, we always nodded wisely when someone cautiously asked if they could play a system. Another little chicken ripe for the plucking.