Tag Archives: bettors

Internet Sportsbooks vs Nevada Sportsbooks (Page 1 of 2)

I was lucky enough to have been recently invited to participate in a night school class on sports wagering at the University of Nevada, Las Vegas (UNLV). Las Vegas is one of my favorite cities and getting to talk about sportsbetting with a large group was a lot of fun; a big thanks to those who attended and endured my presentation! The topic I was asked to speak on was the difference between Internet sportsbooks and Nevada sportsbooks. I thought that might also make a good Frontlines topic, so here goes…

What are the Differences?

The single biggest difference between land-based books and Internet books is that there are no face-to-face transactions over the Internet. That difference is manifested in a variety of ways. First, with internet-based books there are no line-ups. Vegas books can process maybe 20-30 clients at a time, while Internet books can process thousands simultaneously. (Note: I know Vegas is now allowing some Internet betting from within the state, but based on people I talked to there, it has yet to take off.) And because there is no need to have people on hand to personally process every bet means that the Internet books have much lower costs per wager and they can pass this type of savings on in the form of deposit bonuses or reduced juice to bettors.

Second, with Internet books you can shop lines very quickly and act accordingly when you see a line you like. Going from the Mirage to Bally’s to the Bellagio to Mandalay Bay to check lines would take at least an hour, whereas you can check the lines at dozens of Internet books in mere seconds. You don’t have to drive through traffic, pay for parking, walk through the casino maze, and then wait in line to get a bet in. By the time you realize that the line you saw at the first book you checked was the best line after all, it is more than possible that the line has since changed! The Internet makes it very easy for you to get the best line on any event. When you consider that an extra half-point gives you roughly a 2% better chance of covering a football or basketball spread, you can imagine the compound effect of getting an extra half-point or full point on every bet over the course of a full season.

Third, it changes the way lines are moved. There is an old Vegas bookmaking mentality that you never move lines until you write action at that number (unless there is an injury or trade, etc.). For example, if the posted line at a land-based book was -6, they wouldn’t move to -6.5 unless they had action at -6 to justify the move. Moving to -6.5 because other books were moving their lines without action is called “moving on air”. The logic is sound when you can control the number of bets you take at a price. For example, if two bettors bet $1000 on -6, the bookmaker could move to -6.5 and call out the change to those standing in line.

With Internet books, there can be thousands of wagers placed inside a minute so you don’t have the luxury of waiting for action before moving every line. As our head bookmaker puts it, “It is better to move on air than to die from lack of it.” If the line is moving from -6 to -7 everywhere else, staying at -6 is risky. You are presenting bettors the opportunity to play for a side (bet -6 and +7 at the same time and profit nicely if either of those scores lands). Also, you will get a flood of favorite money and dog bettors will be looking elsewhere to get more points, and favorite bettors will see the value in your line. If a book was looking to get favorite action, they could do so with a line of -6.5 so comparing prices is a huge key in setting lines. Vegas books obviously does some comparison-shopping as well, but not with the same sense of urgency (this is changing with the addition of Internet betting though I am sure). This is the reason cell phones and pagers are not allowed in Vegas sportsbooks, they don’t want to facilitate line shopping or syndicate betting (where dozens or even hundreds of bettors bet the same line at the same time to take advantage of a line…a very big reality for Internet books).

Rugby Union Betting News – England v Australia

Rugby Union’s autumn tests kick off this weekend with an absolute cracker for spread betting fans as England take on old adversaries Australia at Twickenham. Those spread bettors supporting England will be concerned that Martin Johnson’s options have been severely limited by injuries with as many as 20 players forced to pull out of the elite squad. There’s plenty for spread punters behind Australia to worry about too, after their young and experimental squad’s forgettable Tri-Nations. Despite earlier wins over the Barbarians, Italy and France, Robbie Dean’s side went on to win just one of their six matches against New Zealand and South Africa.

Overall, England and Australia have met on 36 occasions with the Wallabies winning 21, losing 14 and a single draw. To the delight of buyers of the Australians’ win index spread (25 points for win plus winning score) that includes winning the last meeting at Twickenham 28-14. Spread sellers and buyers of England’s win index will, however, point to the fact that the English were victorious in the previous game, a tight 12-10 win during the 2007 World Cup. Those same spread bettors will be impressed by the more recent head-to-head record, as will sellers of the Aus/Eng supremacy spread – in the last 12 matches against Australia, since 2000, England shade it with seven wins to the Aussies’ five.

Supremacy spread buyers would dearly love a repeat of the Wallabies’ highest winning margin over the hosts, a 76-point drubbing in 1998, while spread punters predicting a home victory might expect a narrower margin of victory given that England’s largest win over their rivals was by 17 points in 1976. The closest result between the sides was a thrilling 32-31 England victory in 2002. During Martin Johnson’s last six games, in which his team recorded just three wins, England scored an average of just over 26 points per game with an average winning margin of 11 points.

Punters looking at the total tries spread market will be interested to know that in the last ten matches between the sides a total of 41 tries were scored. Those keen for a spread bet on England total points should also know that in their previous ten against the Wallabies they have averaged 18.4 points while, in the same period, the total average points accumulated by both sides is just under 45. Sporting Index offer plenty of other exciting markets for spread bettors who might be unsure about the outright result including their performance supremacy spread, where points are awarded for match outcome, tries, kicked goals and deducted for missed kicks and cards shown. Other punters may defer their spread betting decision until kick-off and take advantage of Sporting Index’s in-running spread markets. Spread punters doing so should note that England have lost 12 of their last 17 final quarters at Twickenham but – as anyone who remembers Johnny Wilkinson’s last-gasp drop goal in the 2003 World Cup final will know – anything can happen in international rugby, and in this fixture in particular.